Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#88
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#80
Pace62.6#324
Improvement+3.5#48

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#88
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement-0.2#199

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#88
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+3.7#34
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round17.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 3   @ Virginia L 48-60 6%     0 - 1 +11.7 +11.9 +11.9
  Nov 20, 2017 241   Delaware W 79-66 89%     1 - 1 +5.3 -3.9 -3.9
  Nov 21, 2017 339   Longwood W 71-40 97%     2 - 1 +13.9 -8.5 -8.5
  Nov 24, 2017 89   @ Wake Forest L 75-81 39%     2 - 2 +2.8 +4.4 +4.4
  Nov 28, 2017 331   @ Presbyterian L 72-74 91%     2 - 3 -10.9 -4.5 -4.5
  Dec 02, 2017 183   @ Liberty W 76-75 3OT 65%     3 - 3 +2.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Dec 07, 2017 242   Elon W 75-44 89%     4 - 3 +23.2 -3.9 -3.9
  Dec 13, 2017 236   UNC Wilmington W 71-58 89%     5 - 3 +5.6 -3.7 -3.7
  Dec 16, 2017 39   @ North Carolina St. W 81-76 22%     6 - 3 +19.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Dec 19, 2017 194   UNC Asheville L 60-67 85%     6 - 4 -12.1 -2.6 -2.6
  Dec 30, 2017 146   Wofford W 71-67 77%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +2.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 06, 2018 333   @ VMI W 63-61 91%     8 - 4 2 - 0 -7.1 -4.5 -4.5
  Jan 11, 2018 99   @ East Tennessee St. L 58-68 42%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -2.0 +4.0 +4.0
  Jan 13, 2018 292   @ Western Carolina W 66-55 84%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +6.2 -2.4 -2.4
  Jan 18, 2018 318   The Citadel W 72-58 95%     10 - 5 4 - 1 +1.3 -6.3 -6.3
  Jan 20, 2018 150   Mercer W 70-66 OT 77%     11 - 5 5 - 1 +2.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 24, 2018 95   Furman W 71-61 64%     12 - 5 6 - 1 +12.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Jan 27, 2018 287   @ Samford W 98-82 83%     13 - 5 7 - 1 +11.5 -2.2 -2.2
  Jan 29, 2018 297   @ Chattanooga L 85-87 2OT 85%     13 - 6 7 - 2 -7.1 -2.5 -2.5
  Feb 01, 2018 333   VMI W 73-51 96%     14 - 6 8 - 2 +6.9 -7.6 -7.6
  Feb 07, 2018 95   @ Furman W 80-67 41%     15 - 6 9 - 2 +21.2 +4.1 +4.1
  Feb 10, 2018 292   Western Carolina W 65-48 93%     16 - 6 10 - 2 +6.2 -5.4 -5.4
  Feb 12, 2018 99   East Tennessee St. W 74-56 65%     17 - 6 11 - 2 +20.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Feb 15, 2018 318   @ The Citadel W 82-66 88%     18 - 6 12 - 2 +9.4 -3.3 -3.3
  Feb 17, 2018 150   @ Mercer L 74-77 57%     18 - 7 12 - 3 +1.0 +2.0 +2.0
  Feb 20, 2018 146   @ Wofford W 76-66 57%     19 - 7 13 - 3 +14.1 +2.1 +2.1
  Feb 23, 2018 297   Chattanooga W 72-51 93%     20 - 7 14 - 3 +9.9 -5.6 -5.6
  Feb 25, 2018 287   Samford W 88-75 93%     21 - 7 15 - 3 +2.5 -5.3 -5.3
  Mar 03, 2018 318   The Citadel W 72-58 92%     22 - 7 +4.4 -4.8 -4.8
  Mar 04, 2018 146   Wofford W 56-55 68%     23 - 7 +2.1 +0.6 +0.6
  Mar 05, 2018 99   East Tennessee St. W 62-47 53%     24 - 7 +20.0 +2.5 +2.5
Projected Record 24.0 - 7.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.9 0.2 13.7 77.4 8.7 0.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.9 0.2 13.7 77.4 8.7 0.0